Draft monograph: Survodutide — submissions
The 14 submissions received, published in full with declared interests and secretariat responses.
§2Submissions and responses
14 submissions were received. Each is published in full below with its declared interest, the secretariat response and the disposition. The Institute publishes submissions it did not accept in the same form as those it did.
Point estimates are given without an interval
The respondent submits on the draft monograph for Survodutide. The observation arises from teaching the material rather than from prescribing it.
Several estimates in the draft appear as single figures. The respondent states that a point estimate without an interval invites a precision the underlying data do not support, and that the effect is worst where the estimate is drawn from a small contributing set.
The respondent proposes that no point estimate appear anywhere in the document set without its interval, including in summary tables and in the abstract.
The secretariat accepts this submission in part. Intervals are added wherever the source reports one. The proposal is declined for figures the source published without an interval, because the Institute will not compute an interval a source did not report.
Every estimate now carries its interval where the source reported one, and where it did not, the estimate is annotated as reported without an interval rather than left to appear as a precise figure.
Mechanistic claims for a peptide fragment are carried without evidence that the fragment acts as described
The respondent has read Survodutide in draft and makes a single submission.
The respondent states that the draft repeats a mechanistic account originating in supply documentation rather than in the primary literature, and that the account attributes activity to a fragment on the basis of the activity of the parent molecule.
The respondent proposes that any mechanistic claim be traceable to a primary source and removed where it is not.
The respondent notes submission 001 above and does not repeat the ground it covers.
The secretariat accepts this submission. A mechanism repeated from marketing material has no evidential status regardless of how widely it is repeated.
Mechanistic claims not traceable to a primary source are removed, and those retained carry their source and a statement of whether the underlying work was conducted in vitro, in animals or in humans.
Regulatory status is stated without naming the jurisdiction
Having reviewed the draft on Survodutide, the respondent makes a single submission, on the view that one point put clearly is more use to the secretariat than six put together.
The draft states that the compound is approved, or not approved, without saying by whom. The respondent, employed by a health-technology assessment body, states that approval status differs between jurisdictions for several compounds in the series and that an unqualified statement will be wrong somewhere.
The respondent proposes that every status statement name the authority and carry the date on which the status was checked.
The secretariat accepts this submission. An unattributed status statement is a claim the Institute cannot support.
Every regulatory status statement now names the authority, states the date on which the status was verified, and is recorded per jurisdiction rather than as a single global assertion.
Open-label extension data are presented alongside randomised data without distinction
This submission concerns the draft on Survodutide. The respondent assesses incretin-class evidence for a national body and comments in a personal capacity.
Long-term figures in the clinical section come from open-label extensions in which every participant received the active compound and those who did not tolerate it had already withdrawn. They are printed in the same table as randomised comparisons and in the same typeface.
The respondent proposes that extension data be presented in a separate table, or at minimum in a separately labelled block, and that the surviving-population problem be stated once where it arises.
The secretariat accepts this submission. An extension estimate answers a different question from a randomised one and should not be read as though it answered the same one.
Extension data now appear in a separate table headed as uncontrolled follow-up, with a standing note on differential withdrawal.
Nothing is said about impaired renal or hepatic clearance
This is a submission on the draft covering Survodutide, from a respondent whose work is with the people taking compounds of this class rather than with the trials that produced them.
The pharmacokinetic section gives clearance and half-life in healthy volunteers or in the trial population. It does not say whether either has been characterised in impaired renal or hepatic function, which is the question a clinician reaches the section with.
The respondent proposes that the pharmacokinetic section state, for each compound, whether a dedicated study in impaired function exists, and where none does, say so rather than leaving the field out.
The secretariat accepts this submission. A missing row and an absent study look the same on the page and are not the same thing.
The pharmacokinetic table now carries renal and hepatic rows in every monograph, populated with the study where one exists and with an explicit statement of absence where none does.
The population to which the headline estimate applies is not stated with the estimate
The respondent read the draft on Survodutide alongside the approved labelling for the class, and submits on one matter arising.
The draft carries a headline effect estimate in the abstract without the eligibility criteria of the trials that produced it. The respondent states that the estimate applies to a trial population with specific age, comorbidity and baseline criteria, and that a reader will apply it to whoever is in front of them.
The respondent proposes a one-line population statement adjacent to every headline estimate.
The secretariat accepts this submission. An estimate detached from its population is an estimate of nothing in particular.
Every headline estimate now carries a one-line statement of the population in which it was observed, and the full eligibility criteria are reported in the included-studies table rather than only in the source.
Evidence for one member of the class is presented as evidence for this compound
The respondent works on cardiometabolic outcomes and read the draft on Survodutide with that literature in view.
The draft supports a statement about this compound with a citation to a trial of a different compound in the same class. The respondent states that a class-level inference is a judgement that should be labelled as one rather than presented as direct evidence.
The respondent proposes that any class-level extrapolation be flagged at the point of use and excluded from the certainty rating for the compound itself.
Submission 002 raises an adjacent matter. The respondent regards the two as separable and addresses only this one.
The secretariat accepts this submission. Moderate certainty evidence supports several class-level statements in this area, but a class-level statement is not evidence about a particular member of the class.
Class-level inferences are now labelled at the point of use, are excluded from the certainty rating for the compound, and are reported in a separate subsection stating which compound the underlying evidence concerns.
The monograph should state what the compound costs
Having read the draft under consultation, which concerns Survodutide, the respondent submits as follows.
The respondent states that a reader deciding whether to pursue treatment needs to know what it costs, and that omitting price makes the assessment less useful than it could be.
The respondent proposes that a price range be recorded for each compound with the source and date.
The secretariat does not accept this submission. Price varies by jurisdiction, payer, presentation and date to a degree that no single figure could survive, and a stale price is worse than no price.
No price is recorded. The monograph records the presentations available and the regulatory status in each jurisdiction, which are the facts the Institute can verify and maintain. The submission remains published in full.
The absence of a rare harm in the trial set is presented as reassurance
This is a submission on Survodutide.
The draft states that a specific serious event was not observed in the contributing trials. The respondent states that trials of the size conducted here could not have detected an event at the frequency in question, and that reporting the absence without that arithmetic converts an uninformative result into a reassuring one.
The respondent proposes that the detectable frequency be stated wherever the absence of an event is reported.
The secretariat accepts this submission. The Institute's own framework treats an absent event in an underpowered set as uninformative, and the draft departed from it.
Wherever the monograph reports that an event was not observed, it now states the total exposure and the frequency the contributing trials could have detected, so that the absence is read as the limit of the evidence rather than as a finding.
The interaction section lists mechanisms rather than interactions
The respondent has read the draft monograph on Survodutide against a caseload in which incretin analogues are prescribed daily.
The section describes pathways by which an interaction could occur. It does not say which interactions have been observed, in what setting, or with what consequence. A reader dispensing alongside other therapy cannot act on a mechanism.
The respondent proposes that observed interactions be separated from theoretical ones, and that the theoretical ones be labelled as such.
The secretariat accepts the separation and declines to expand the section beyond the evidence.
The interaction section is now divided into interactions reported in clinical use and interactions predicted from mechanism, with the second labelled as prediction. Where neither exists the section says so in one line rather than being padded.
Absence of evidence is presented in a form a reader will take as negative evidence
The draft on Survodutide is a substantial document and the respondent has confined this submission to one matter.
Where the Institute has identified no study, the draft states that no evidence was found. In several places that sentence sits immediately after a paragraph describing an adverse outcome, and the juxtaposition invites the reading that the compound was studied and found wanting.
The respondent proposes a standing formulation, used identically wherever the situation arises, distinguishing an outcome that was studied and not demonstrated from an outcome that has not been studied at all.
The secretariat accepts this submission. The two states are different, they support different decisions, and the draft rendered them in language a reader could not reliably separate.
A standing formulation has been adopted and is applied wherever an evidence gap is recorded, distinguishing an outcome assessed and not demonstrated from an outcome not assessed. The formulation is identical at every occurrence so that it can be recognised at a glance.
The pharmacokinetic section does not connect half-life to the dosing schedule
The draft on Survodutide was read in full. The respondent notes at the outset that this class has an unusually deep randomised evidence base, and that a monograph on it is fairly judged against a higher standard than one on a compound with none.
The draft reports a half-life and, separately, a dosing interval. The respondent, a clinical pharmacologist, states that the relationship between the two is what determines accumulation and time to steady state, and that the monograph leaves the reader to derive it.
The respondent proposes that time to steady state be stated explicitly, with the assumption from which it was derived.
The secretariat accepts this submission. The derivation is short, it is decision-relevant, and leaving it to the reader invites it to be done wrong.
The pharmacokinetic section now states approximate time to steady state alongside the half-life and dosing interval, with the assumption of first-order elimination stated, and records where the assumption is not supported for this compound.
A near-isobaric analogue is not distinguished by the identity determination described
The respondent read Survodutide in draft. The point applies to it and to the series generally.
The identity determination described in the draft resolves the compound from unrelated substances but would not distinguish it from a closely related analogue whose mass differs by approximately one dalton.
The respondent proposes that the monograph state the resolution required for that discrimination, and state that a nominal-mass instrument reporting an integer mass has not made it.
The respondent has read submission 007 above and makes this submission independently of it.
The secretariat accepts this submission. The point is decisive where one member of a near-isobaric pair is an approved medicine and the other is not.
The analytical section now states the resolving power required to discriminate the pair, names the pair explicitly, and records that an identity claim made below that resolution is not conformant with the identity standard.
Two factual descriptions of the sponsor's programme are inaccurate
This submission addresses the draft monograph on Survodutide. The respondent went through the document twice, once as a specialist and once as a reader arriving without the background.
The submission is made on behalf of the marketing-authorisation holder and is confined to two matters of fact. The draft describes a trial as terminated where the sponsor closed it at a pre-specified interim analysis, and gives a dose in a unit that does not match the approved labelling.
Supporting documentation, comprising the published trial report and the current summary of product characteristics, accompanied the submission. No view is expressed on the certainty ratings, which the sponsor considers a matter for the assessment committee.
Submission 006 raises an adjacent matter. The respondent regards the two as separable and addresses only this one.
The secretariat accepts this submission. Both points are matters of fact, both were checkable against documents the Institute holds, and both were wrong in the draft.
The trial status now reads as completed at a pre-specified interim analysis, with the analysis identified, and the dose is stated in the unit used in the approved labelling. The submission is identified as an industry submission on its face in accordance with the conflicts policy.
References cited on this page
References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.
- International Organization for Standardization. ISO/IEC 17025:2017 General Requirements for the Competence of Testing and Calibration Laboratories. ISO/IEC Standard 2017;3rd edition. identifier not held by the Institute
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